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Title: Israel storm ship


IceStorm - May 31, 2010 10:09 AM (GMT)
saw the video from a turkey TV news, share your thoughts.

Video click here

my thoughts, if they same thing happen in singapore, wat possible reactions can we take?

bear in mind, there is a possibility that the ships could be laden with tons of explosives though claimed otherwise.

rappeling down from a helo one by one.. now looks rather foolish against an armed mob, terrorist or pirates.

CM06 - May 31, 2010 12:25 PM (GMT)
If scenerio of prewarned activists boats sail towards singapore i think we will use even more deadly force.

Loud hailer warning + flare + protector USVs. If they dont turn away. Block their ships with our PCG boats? If they enter our waters and ignore us, who knows, maybe we will fire to disable their engines?

Something like the WTO meet in Singapore - protesters are allowed only at certain location. - lay down rules and regulations. Then park all the riot vehicles and show police riot gear clearly to tell them to dont play play.

bdique - May 31, 2010 12:36 PM (GMT)
ch5 news says the 'shooting continues even though the white flag is raised'.

idf has something on youtube to get their POV across. (WWPAFFD? :rolleyes: )

frankly, from the turkish TV grab, looks like there was shooting, then it became an all out brawl. I guess it all hinges on who fires those first shots.

Stuff from 90c and CNA

IceStorm - May 31, 2010 12:43 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (CM06 @ May 31 2010, 08:25 PM)
If scenerio of prewarned activists boats sail towards singapore i think we will use even more deadly force.

Loud hailer warning + flare + protector USVs. If they dont turn away. Block their ships with our PCG boats? If they enter our waters and ignore us, who knows, maybe we will fire to disable their engines?

Something like the WTO meet in Singapore - protesters are allowed only at certain location. - lay down rules and regulations. Then park all the riot vehicles and show police riot gear clearly to tell them to dont play play.

but large ships would mow down our PUNY PVs.

could apache hellfire disable the engine or will it simply blow the ship up into two?

IceStorm - May 31, 2010 12:51 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (bdique @ May 31 2010, 08:36 PM)
ch5 news says the 'shooting continues even though the white flag is raised'.

idf has something on youtube to get their POV across. (WWPAFFD? :rolleyes: )

frankly, from the turkish TV grab, looks like there was shooting, then it became an all out brawl. I guess it all hinges on who fires those first shots.

Stuff from 90c and CNA

would you still trust a white flag at that point of time?

i mean, its suppose to be a "humanitarian" ship... yet out comes the knives and iron pipes...

i am not even sure how many of those assailants themselves respect the "flag of truce".

Alfie007 - May 31, 2010 12:57 PM (GMT)
IMHO (pls correct me if I'm wrong), a likely situation in Singapore context may probably be a influx of refugees coming up in a neighbouring country due to civil unrest, etc, etc.. The most important thing for our SAF & SPF personnel defending our shores is not to fire the first shot as this will bring about an undesirable international response to our actions.. If have to, disable their engines..

In Israel's case this morning, I believe the Israeli commandos would not have open fire if they were not attacked.. Humanitarians aren't suppose to harm military personnel anyway.. While there were casualties (some dead) among the "humanitarians", the IAF also claimed that they suffered casualties too (as heard in the news).. The Israelis tried to take control of the ships but it turned ugly when those "humanitarians" attacked the soldiers as they landed on the ship.. A civilian who take up arms (even if they used sticks, iron pipes, knives, those are still weapons) with the intention to harm a soldier is no longer considered a "civilian"..

I opened up my facebook today and saw several Malaysian Muslim friends condemning the attacks partly due to the fact that there are some Malaysians on board.. Looks like another "boycott call" of American & Israeli products again??

bdique - May 31, 2010 01:19 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (IceStorm @ May 31 2010, 08:51 PM)
QUOTE (bdique @ May 31 2010, 08:36 PM)
ch5 news says the 'shooting continues even though the white flag is raised'.

idf has something on youtube to get their POV across. (WWPAFFD?  :rolleyes: )

frankly, from the turkish TV grab, looks like there was shooting, then it became an all out brawl. I guess it all hinges on who fires those first shots.

Stuff from 90c and CNA

would you still trust a white flag at that point of time?

i mean, its suppose to be a "humanitarian" ship... yet out comes the knives and iron pipes...

i am not even sure how many of those assailants themselves respect the "flag of truce".

I'll be frank, since it was a night op, I wonder how obvious would a white flag be. Given the kind of chaos on the ship as seen in the vid, I won't be surprised if someone missed seeing it. Or if the guys on the ship strategically flew a flag that's obvious to the media but impossible to spot for the troops on the deck.

Viper52 - May 31, 2010 02:08 PM (GMT)
The flotilla was lit up like Christmas trees.

IceStorm - May 31, 2010 02:34 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (Alfie007 @ May 31 2010, 08:57 PM)
IMHO (pls correct me if I'm wrong), a likely situation in Singapore context may probably be a influx of refugees coming up in a neighbouring country due to civil unrest, etc, etc.. The most important thing for our SAF & SPF personnel defending our shores is not to fire the first shot as this will bring about an undesirable international response to our actions.. If have to, disable their engines..

In Israel's case this morning, I believe the Israeli commandos would not have open fire if they were not attacked.. Humanitarians aren't suppose to harm military personnel anyway.. While there were casualties (some dead) among the "humanitarians", the IAF also claimed that they suffered casualties too (as heard in the news).. The Israelis tried to take control of the ships but it turned ugly when those "humanitarians" attacked the soldiers as they landed on the ship.. A civilian who take up arms (even if they used sticks, iron pipes, knives, those are still weapons) with the intention to harm a soldier is no longer considered a "civilian"..

I opened up my facebook today and saw several Malaysian Muslim friends condemning the attacks partly due to the fact that there are some Malaysians on board.. Looks like another "boycott call" of American & Israeli products again??

tell them to start with PC (US intel and AMD) , internet (DARPA) and handphone (invented by israel). :lol:

IceStorm - May 31, 2010 02:36 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (Viper52 @ May 31 2010, 10:08 PM)
The flotilla was lit up like Christmas trees.

problem is... who saw the flag? ;)

and given wat had already transpired, i would be really skeptical about any "flag of truce"...

Ceratos - May 31, 2010 03:27 PM (GMT)
This is the end result of being KAPO....

dtwn - May 31, 2010 03:41 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (IceStorm @ May 31 2010, 08:43 PM)
but large ships would mow down our PUNY PVs.
could apache hellfire disable the engine or will it simply blow the ship up into two?

Dinky Hellfires wouldn't do very much against ships actually. The Hellfire packs a <10 kg warhead. In comparison, the Harpoon packs a 200+ kg warhead and Penguins pack a >120 kg warhead.

You would blow a hole in a few bulkheads with the shaped charged warhead at most. The charge will only travel so far. Wonder what the thermobaric models would do.

Regarding this mess, I was reading the NYT article and came across a pretty good comment. The Israeli trade minister mentioned that once the civilians tried to grab the weapons of the boarding team, the entire situation FUBAR'D (my phrasing of course). I don't think any military force in the world wouldn't have reacted in the same way. If a civilian was trying to grab my weapon, while I might not immediately fire on him/her, I would definitely be attempting to try to stop them with as much force as I thought necessary and the ROEs allowed. In the heat of it all, I might not even follow the ROEs. These troops are only human.

As to whether it was appropriate for them to board the ships, it's ultimately a political question that only the Israelis can answer. Should they choose to allow the ships to flaunt the blockade, thus demonstrating their powerlessness, or demonstrate decisiveness and a show of force. As we all know now, they chose the latter option. Was this the best choice? Initial reactions would probably dictate that this is not the case. Only time will tell.

bdique - May 31, 2010 04:40 PM (GMT)
dtwn, the FUBAR may have started before the first man hit the deck. Kinda shows the inherent dangers of rappelling straight into a hostile crowd. The troops probably knew what they were going into and still went in anyway.

From IDF

something looked a little bizzare. @0:52, did troops go in armed with paintball guns?

|-|05| - May 31, 2010 05:43 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (bdique @ Jun 1 2010, 12:40 AM)
dtwn, the FUBAR may have started before the first man hit the deck. Kinda shows the inherent dangers of rappelling straight into a hostile crowd. The troops probably knew what they were going into and still went in anyway.

From IDF

something looked a little bizzare. @0:52, did troops go in armed with paintball guns?

Looks that way. Could have been filled with pepper or tear gas like things. Police use it for crowd control.
What I do find even more interesting is at 0:48-0:50 1 of the person hitting the soldiers(or something on the ground) with a metal rod looks to be wearing a gas mask.

|-|05| - May 31, 2010 05:51 PM (GMT)
wow watching more of it, too bad they cut and edited the vid, makes it less, trustworthy. Anyway those soldiers actually show a lot of training and restraint.

Got to admit that their use of PR is pretty good.Though they must have known this would be come a shit storm!

IceStorm - May 31, 2010 06:48 PM (GMT)
singapore should seriously look into non lethal weapons for such operations.

maggot bomb :D
snake bomb :lol:
flea bomb :P

dtwn - May 31, 2010 08:47 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (bdique @ Jun 1 2010, 12:40 AM)
dtwn, the FUBAR may have started before the first man hit the deck. Kinda shows the inherent dangers of rappelling straight into a hostile crowd. The troops probably knew what they were going into and still went in anyway.

From IDF

something looked a little bizzare. @0:52, did troops go in armed with paintball guns?

Thanks for the link! I knew the IDF had a youtube channel, but I didn't think about looking at it.

This is shaping up to be a propaganda windfall for Hamas and other anti-Israeli organisations.

I guess what I meant about FUBAR was the outright use of lethal force. As some have noted, the IDF could certainly have used a lot more force, albeit with even uglier results. Looking at the videos, I'm surprised the IDF didn't incur more casualties. Is it possible that this might not have been the first boarding? Thus, the reaction seen on video?

Any idea if the IDF troops were armed with rubber bullets or other less lethal weapons? Admittedly, at those ranges, rubber bullets have been known to break bones.

bdique - May 31, 2010 11:45 PM (GMT)
Here's one with 'sound', just noticed, besides the gas mask dude (I thought I spotted a few) at about 1:02 one of the commandos had his paintball gun snatched from him, hence he switched to his pistol.

I guess paintball guns cause less damage then rubber bullets? also usage of gas might be ineffective due to the helicopter's downwash...

frankly I had a crazy idea about how to stop the ship of that size, but I don't know if its feasible...maybe ram a UUV into the prop blades, hopefully damaging it and leaving it stranded in the water without causing structural damage to the hull. You'll have to sacrifice it, but its a lot easier to control than say shooting a dummy torpedo. Once dead in the water, you can offer to tow them back to your own port and offer to help fix this unfortunate 'incident'.

edit: check out how this 'peaceful' demonstrator 'deals' with IDF troops on his deck.

edit the second: got some info from Jpost, has a pretty good description of the sequence of events.

FIVE-TWO - June 1, 2010 01:37 AM (GMT)
should be quite a few ways of jamming a ship's prop maybe can R&D some kind of prop jamming net?

|-|05| - June 1, 2010 04:30 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (bdique @ Jun 1 2010, 07:45 AM)
Here's one with 'sound', just noticed, besides the gas mask dude (I thought I spotted a few) at about 1:02 one of the commandos had his paintball gun snatched from him, hence he switched to his pistol.

I guess paintball guns cause less damage then rubber bullets? also usage of gas might be ineffective due to the helicopter's downwash...

frankly I had a crazy idea about how to stop the ship of that size, but I don't know if its feasible...maybe ram a UUV into the prop blades, hopefully damaging it and leaving it stranded in the water without causing structural damage to the hull. You'll have to sacrifice it, but its a lot easier to control than say shooting a dummy torpedo. Once dead in the water, you can offer to tow them back to your own port and offer to help fix this unfortunate 'incident'.

edit: check out how this 'peaceful' demonstrator 'deals' with IDF troops on his deck.

edit the second: got some info from Jpost, has a pretty good description of the sequence of events.

It looked like the guy reached for it but the soldier managed to pull back and we didn't see the gun cause he was facing away from camera.Not sure.Because there was another guy in the back with a pistol.

Also what I meant was the "paintball" pallets are sometimes loaded with pepper or tear gas for crowd control.Not that they deploy gas or pepper spray =)

From reports coming out, all the other ships in the fleet surrendered quietly, it was only that 1 ship that fought back.

There isn't really many ways to stop a ship short of taking out her screws or engine. Ships that size will likely tear up most nets. unless maybe it's a steel net. Cheaper and more effective to just board.

Alfie007 - June 1, 2010 02:09 PM (GMT)
QUOTE
crewnate  —  May 31, 2010  — The "Gaza Freedom Flotilla" was a fleet carrying self-described "peace activists" with "aid" for Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.

This is what they were really planning. Watch and judge the facts for yourself. Who are the real thugs?

Actually, it's amazing the Israelis were able to peacefully and professionally deal with all the other vessels. Only terrorists aboard the Turkish boat Mavi Marmara put up a pre-planned and vicious fight.

But who are we kidding? When has truth or reality convinced Islamists and their spineless Western liberal buddies of error? Israel is always the bad guy no matter what happens.

They know exactly what they're doing, and this was a slick move by Turkey. A real win-win, given their certainty of support by the Western mainstream media.

They are making this into a PR victory for radical Islam under cover of Palestinian "freedom," and the dead thugs a becoming martyrs and heroes.

Let's spread the facts and defend Israel's right to defend itself.

Callsign 24 Seira - June 1, 2010 02:15 PM (GMT)
It will be less messy if the Israeli naval teams simply disable the cruise ship (just disable propellers)...no need even board the criuse ship and get beaten by the protesters.


Grunt - June 1, 2010 02:21 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (IceStorm @ Jun 1 2010, 02:48 AM)
singapore should seriously look into non lethal weapons for such operations.

maggot bomb :D
snake bomb :lol:
flea bomb :P

Pork floss bomb (this joke was suggested by a female Muslim friend).

FIVE-TWO - June 1, 2010 02:33 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (Grunt @ Jun 1 2010, 10:21 PM)
QUOTE (IceStorm @ Jun 1 2010, 02:48 AM)
singapore should seriously look into non lethal weapons for such operations.

maggot bomb  :D
snake bomb  :lol:
flea bomb  :P

Pork floss bomb (this joke was suggested by a female Muslim friend).

reminds me of a traffic accident some years back where a porcine transport truck overturned and some of the cargo escaped and ran up the road towards a bus stop, which unfortunately included some Malays. SIAM AHH!!!

Alfie007 - June 1, 2010 02:43 PM (GMT)

Alfie007 - June 1, 2010 04:20 PM (GMT)
QUOTE
idfnadesk  —  June 01, 2010  — IDF forces unload the humanitarian cargo from the Gaza Flotilla and bring the aid through the Kerem Shalom crossing.

An average of 10,000 tons of aid a week are imported into the Gaza Strip in coordination with international organizations through the land crossings. However, there remains a maritime closure on the strip as Hamas continues to smuggle weapons through tunnels for use against Israeli civilians. For more information about the IDF's humanitarian operations visit: www.idfspokesperson.com and https://www.swivel.com/people/1016582-IDF-Online

|-|05| - June 1, 2010 05:02 PM (GMT)
Well Alfie, there's a report now from anti-israel but not exactly muslims that they were "peaceful" and the israelis attacked first.

But it funny how there was not problems with the other ships.
Spin doctoring by all sides hah.

bdique - June 2, 2010 03:51 AM (GMT)
something puzzles me. why the iranian silence?

IAF - June 2, 2010 04:48 AM (GMT)

You wish..lol! Ahmadinejad: "Israeli commandos are wild dogs"

http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Ar....aspx?id=177128

bdique - June 2, 2010 05:00 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (IAF @ Jun 2 2010, 12:48 PM)
You wish..lol! Ahmadinejad: "Israeli commandos are wild dogs"

http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Ar....aspx?id=177128

aww crap, I was looking thru JPost, how did I miss that? :P

anyway, on the PR front...

Video released too late?

QUOTE
Kadima MK Nachman Shai, a former IDF Spokesman who has a doctorate in public diplomacy, said that had the footage come out earlier in the day it would have dramatically changed the way the story was covered by the international press.

“I watched the videos and it filled me with anger, since it was not flattering for the Shayetet,” he said on Tuesday. “But at the same time, in these types of events the first hours set the rest of the media coverage, and if the statement and video had come out earlier it could have gotten the message across that these soldiers were violently attacked.”
QUOTE
For many Israelis who had believed the IDF account all along[that they were lynched and not the aggressors], the belated supporting evidence may have only deepened the frustrations felt all day at the rest of the world’s readiness to doubt Israel’s account of events and believe the false narratives of its enemies.


something PAFF can learn?

Dzirhan - June 2, 2010 05:29 AM (GMT)

Wouldn't make much difference if the video released early or not, a lot of ppl on the international front would have already made up their mind as to which side to blame.

ggk - June 2, 2010 06:35 AM (GMT)
only one ship try to repel the commando assault (badly). The leader of the convoy explicitly gave a clear instruction for all convoy to turn back if the IDF gave a stern warning or aggressively harrased the ship.

i wonder what went wrong.

Unrelated to my post but rather funny... (well not that funny since a lot of people lost their lives)

user posted image

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dtwn - June 2, 2010 07:28 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (Dzirhan @ Jun 2 2010, 01:29 PM)
Wouldn't make much difference if the video released early or not, a lot of ppl on the international front would have already made up their mind as to which side to blame.

I'm inclined to think the same. The Israeli(Jewish)/Anti-Israeli(Jewish) lobby would have stuck to their guns, and the the waverers would have gone with the human rights angle, i.e. Bad Israelis beating up/shooting unarmed civilians. It might have helped a little with the waverers.

@ggk, that is rather funny.

LionFlyer - June 2, 2010 12:20 PM (GMT)
Israel needs a strategic rethink. I think they are really too quick to resort to violence to solve their geopolitical problems because they feel it is the only way forward.

IceStorm - June 2, 2010 02:09 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (LionFlyer @ Jun 2 2010, 08:20 PM)
Israel needs a strategic rethink. I think they are really too quick to resort to violence to solve their geopolitical problems because they feel it is the only way forward.

perhaps they should sit down with osama and talk over a cup of tea? :P

afterall, they did went to the extent of arming troops with PAINTBALLs on concern for their assailants safety...

if they are so willing to expose their troops to unnecessary danger for the sake of those who would want nothing more then to see every jews sent to heaven... nothing is impossible.

Shotgun - June 2, 2010 03:05 PM (GMT)
What they should have dropped was tear gas cannisters and smoke grenades to blind everyone and every camera. Horrible planning.

Alfie007 - June 2, 2010 03:26 PM (GMT)
QUOTE
idfnadesk  —  June 01, 2010  — The IDF commandos, during the operation to redirect the Gaza flotilla, boarded the Mavi Marmara in the early hours of May 31st, 2010. When they attempted to board, activists, in a prepared attack, lynched the soldiers and stole two pistols.

In this footage you can hear the radio exchange between soldiers on their way to the bridge and the IDF ship. The soldiers report encountering live fire and serious violence.

For more information about the incidents aboard the Mavi Marmara: www.idfspokesperson.com or www.idf.il/english
QUOTE
idfnadesk  —  June 02, 2010  — In footage captured on the Mavi Marmara, activists are seen attacking the soldiers with a stun grenade, a box of plates, and water hoses as the soldiers attempt to board the ship. the activists are also waiving around metal rods and chains later used to attack the soldiers with. The IDF soldiers were armed with paint ball guns (used for riot dispersal) and pistols which they were ordered to use only as a last resort.

In the early hours of the 31st of May 2010, IDF soldiers boarded the ships of the "Free Gaza" Flotilla, after the ships refused to redirect their course. Aboard the Mavi Marmara the soldiers encountered serious violence when, in a preplanned attack, the activists on board lynched the soldiers with knives, metal rods and stole two of their guns. As a result 7 soldiers were injured and 9 activists were killed.

Grunt - June 2, 2010 05:33 PM (GMT)
^^There is a post at STRATFOR discussing the information war of the Gaza flotilla incident, that is worth reading. The STRATFOR analysis and the rantings of a few individuals in various Malaysian forums, shows that many people, despite living in an information age, easily fall for lies by a Turkish NGO, sympathetic to the objectives of a terrorist organization.

QUOTE (George Friedman)
Flotillas and the Wars of Public Opinion

On Sunday, Israeli naval forces intercepted the ships of a Turkish nongovernmental organization (NGO) delivering humanitarian supplies to Gaza. Israel had demanded that the vessels not go directly to Gaza but instead dock in Israeli ports, where the supplies would be offloaded and delivered to Gaza. The Turkish NGO refused, insisting on going directly to Gaza. Gunfire ensued when Israeli naval personnel boarded one of the vessels, and a significant number of the passengers and crew on the ship were killed or wounded.

Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon charged that the mission was simply an attempt to provoke the Israelis. That was certainly the case. The mission was designed to demonstrate that the Israelis were unreasonable and brutal. The hope was that Israel would be provoked to extreme action, further alienating Israel from the global community and possibly driving a wedge between Israel and the United States. The operation’s planners also hoped this would trigger a political crisis in Israel.

A logical Israeli response would have been avoiding falling into the provocation trap and suffering the political repercussions the Turkish NGO was trying to trigger. Instead, the Israelis decided to make a show of force. The Israelis appear to have reasoned that backing down would demonstrate weakness and encourage further flotillas to Gaza, unraveling the Israeli position vis-à-vis Hamas. In this thinking, a violent interception was a superior strategy to accommodation regardless of political consequences. Thus, the Israelis accepted the bait and were provoked.

The ‘Exodus’ Scenario

In the 1950s, an author named Leon Uris published a book called “Exodus.” Later made into a major motion picture, Exodus told the story of a Zionist provocation against the British. In the wake of World War II, the British — who controlled Palestine, as it was then known — maintained limits on Jewish immigration there. Would-be immigrants captured trying to run the blockade were detained in camps in Cyprus. In the book and movie, Zionists planned a propaganda exercise involving a breakout of Jews — mostly children — from the camp, who would then board a ship renamed the Exodus. When the Royal Navy intercepted the ship, the passengers would mount a hunger strike. The goal was to portray the British as brutes finishing the work of the Nazis. The image of children potentially dying of hunger would force the British to permit the ship to go to Palestine, to reconsider British policy on immigration, and ultimately to decide to abandon Palestine and turn the matter over to the United Nations.

There was in fact a ship called Exodus, but the affair did not play out precisely as portrayed by Uris, who used an amalgam of incidents to display the propaganda war waged by the Jews. Those carrying out this war had two goals. The first was to create sympathy in Britain and throughout the world for Jews who, just a couple of years after German concentration camps, were now being held in British camps. Second, they sought to portray their struggle as being against the British. The British were portrayed as continuing Nazi policies toward the Jews in order to maintain their empire. The Jews were portrayed as anti-imperialists, fighting the British much as the Americans had.

It was a brilliant strategy. By focusing on Jewish victimhood and on the British, the Zionists defined the battle as being against the British, with the Arabs playing the role of people trying to create the second phase of the Holocaust. The British were portrayed as pro-Arab for economic and imperial reasons, indifferent at best to the survivors of the Holocaust. Rather than restraining the Arabs, the British were arming them. The goal was not to vilify the Arabs but to villify the British, and to position the Jews with other nationalist groups whether in India or Egypt rising against the British.

The precise truth or falsehood of this portrayal didn’t particularly matter. For most of the world, the Palestine issue was poorly understood and not a matter of immediate concern. The Zionists intended to shape the perceptions of a global public with limited interest in or understanding of the issues, filling in the blanks with their own narrative. And they succeeded.

The success was rooted in a political reality. Where knowledge is limited, and the desire to learn the complex reality doesn’t exist, public opinion can be shaped by whoever generates the most powerful symbols. And on a matter of only tangential interest, governments tend to follow their publics’ wishes, however they originate. There is little to be gained for governments in resisting public opinion and much to be gained by giving in. By shaping the battlefield of public perception, it is thus possible to get governments to change positions.

In this way, the Zionists’ ability to shape global public perceptions of what was happening in Palestine — to demonize the British and turn the question of Palestine into a Jewish-British issue — shaped the political decisions of a range of governments. It was not the truth or falsehood of the narrative that mattered. What mattered was the ability to identify the victim and victimizer such that global opinion caused both London and governments not directly involved in the issue to adopt political stances advantageous to the Zionists. It is in this context that we need to view the Turkish flotilla.
The Turkish Flotilla to Gaza

The Palestinians have long argued that they are the victims of Israel, an invention of British and American imperialism. Since 1967, they have focused not so much on the existence of the state of Israel (at least in messages geared toward the West) as on the oppression of Palestinians in the occupied territories. Since the split between Hamas and Fatah and the Gaza War, the focus has been on the plight of the citizens of Gaza, who have been portrayed as the dispossessed victims of Israeli violence.

The bid to shape global perceptions by portraying the Palestinians as victims of Israel was the first prong of a longtime two-part campaign. The second part of this campaign involved armed resistance against the Israelis. The way this resistance was carried out, from airplane hijackings to stone-throwing children to suicide bombers, interfered with the first part of the campaign, however. The Israelis could point to suicide bombings or the use of children against soldiers as symbols of Palestinian inhumanity. This in turn was used to justify conditions in Gaza. While the Palestinians had made significant inroads in placing Israel on the defensive in global public opinion, they thus consistently gave the Israelis the opportunity to turn the tables. And this is where the flotilla comes in.

The Turkish flotilla aimed to replicate the Exodus story or, more precisely, to define the global image of Israel in the same way the Zionists defined the image that they wanted to project. As with the Zionist portrayal of the situation in 1947, the Gaza situation is far more complicated than as portrayed by the Palestinians. The moral question is also far more ambiguous. But as in 1947, when the Zionist portrayal was not intended to be a scholarly analysis of the situation but a political weapon designed to define perceptions, the Turkish flotilla was not designed to carry out a moral inquest.

Instead, the flotilla was designed to achieve two ends. The first is to divide Israel and Western governments by shifting public opinion against Israel. The second is to create a political crisis inside Israel between those who feel that Israel’s increasing isolation over the Gaza issue is dangerous versus those who think any weakening of resolve is dangerous.
The Geopolitical Fallout for Israel

It is vital that the Israelis succeed in portraying the flotilla as an extremist plot. Whether extremist or not, the plot has generated an image of Israel quite damaging to Israeli political interests. Israel is increasingly isolated internationally, with heavy pressure on its relationship with Europe and the United States.

In all of these countries, politicians are extremely sensitive to public opinion. It is difficult to imagine circumstances under which public opinion will see Israel as the victim. The general response in the Western public is likely to be that the Israelis probably should have allowed the ships to go to Gaza and offload rather than to precipitate bloodshed. Israel’s enemies will fan these flames by arguing that the Israelis prefer bloodshed to reasonable accommodation. And as Western public opinion shifts against Israel, Western political leaders will track with this shift.

The incident also wrecks Israeli relations with Turkey, historically an Israeli ally in the Muslim world with longstanding military cooperation with Israel. The Turkish government undoubtedly has wanted to move away from this relationship, but it faced resistance within the Turkish military and among secularists. The new Israeli action makes a break with Israel easy, and indeed almost necessary for Ankara.

With roughly the population of Houston, Texas, Israel is just not large enough to withstand extended isolation, meaning this event has profound geopolitical implications.

Public opinion matters where issues are not of fundamental interest to a nation. Israel is not a fundamental interest to other nations. The ability to generate public antipathy to Israel can therefore reshape Israeli relations with countries critical to Israel. For example, a redefinition of U.S.-Israeli relations will have much less effect on the United States than on Israel. The Obama administration, already irritated by the Israelis, might now see a shift in U.S. public opinion that will open the way to a new U.S.-Israeli relationship disadvantageous to Israel.

The Israelis will argue that this is all unfair, as they were provoked. Like the British, they seem to think that the issue is whose logic is correct. But the issue actually is, whose logic will be heard? As with a tank battle or an airstrike, this sort of warfare has nothing to do with fairness. It has to do with controlling public perception and using that public perception to shape foreign policy around the world. In this case, the issue will be whether the deaths were necessary. The Israeli argument of provocation will have limited traction.

Internationally, there is little doubt that the incident will generate a firestorm. Certainly, Turkey will break cooperation with Israel. Opinion in Europe will likely harden. And public opinion in the United States — by far the most important in the equation — might shift to a “plague-on-both-your-houses” position.

While the international reaction is predictable, the interesting question is whether this evolution will cause a political crisis in Israel. Those in Israel who feel that international isolation is preferable to accommodation with the Palestinians are in control now. Many in the opposition see Israel’s isolation as a strategic threat. Economically and militarily, they argue, Israel cannot survive in isolation. The current regime will respond that there will be no isolation. The flotilla aimed to generate what the government has said would not happen.

The tougher Israel is, the more the flotilla’s narrative takes hold. As the Zionists knew in 1947 and the Palestinians are learning, controlling public opinion requires subtlety, a selective narrative and cynicism. As they also knew, losing the battle can be catastrophic. It cost Britain the Mandate and allowed Israel to survive. Israel’s enemies are now turning the tables. This maneuver was far more effective than suicide bombings or the Intifada in challenging Israel’s public perception and therefore its geopolitical position (though if the Palestinians return to some of their more distasteful tactics like suicide bombing, the Turkish strategy of portraying Israel as the instigator of violence will be undermined).

Israel is now in uncharted waters. It does not know how to respond. It is not clear that the Palestinians know how to take full advantage of the situation, either. But even so, this places the battle on a new field, far more fluid and uncontrollable than what went before. The next steps will involve calls for sanctions against Israel. The Israeli threats against Iran will be seen in a different context, and Israeli portrayal of Iran will hold less sway over the world.

And this will cause a political crisis in Israel. If this government survives, then Israel is locked into a course that gives it freedom of action but international isolation. If the government falls, then Israel enters a period of domestic uncertainty. In either case, the flotilla achieved its strategic mission. It got Israel to take violent action against it. In doing so, Israel ran into its own fist.


@ Alfie007, you may want to read this post by Alan M. Dershowitz on the issue of legality in enforcing a naval blockade against another belligerent. There is quite a bit of misinformed ranting in a few forums about the legality of these actions. The link to the post provided above explains why these actions are legal.

BTW, the 1982 UN Convention on Law at Sea is not applicable (just in case another idiot tries to bring this up). I've also seen others attempt to say that Israeli actions is an act of piracy. That position is also legally without merit. Point out to them that the Sayeret 13 naval commandos boarded the ship, Mavi Marmara on the orders of a state.

Alfie007 - June 3, 2010 01:56 AM (GMT)
Thanks Grunt..

I'll read it later during lunch hours..

bdique - June 3, 2010 03:28 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (Shotgun @ Jun 2 2010, 11:05 PM)
What they should have dropped was tear gas cannisters and smoke grenades to blind everyone and every camera. Horrible planning.

quite a number of the crew/mob were already wearing gas masks. anyway I doubt the effectiveness of smoke when there's a pretty big downwash, but I could be wrong. Also stun grenades have been known to set things on fire, and if someone happens to wear a shirt that's made from something flammable, things could go down south fast. I wouldn't board that ship, I'll just ruin its control (prop and rudder) and tow it back to wherever I want it to be towed.




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